NCAA Tournament March Madness

#306 Holy Cross

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

Holy Cross’s resume has a few encouraging moments but is littered with damaging road defeats, which explains its current standing. A neutral win over Hampton and a win over Northeastern show the team can close games, yet heavy losses at Providence, BYU and Utah and additional setbacks at Brown and Sacred Heart undermine those positives because the committee prizes results away from home and on neutral courts. A close home loss to Siena further blunts the resume, so the easiest path to change perceptions runs through the Patriot League slate: protecting home dates against Army, Lafayette and Loyola Maryland and picking up meaningful road wins at places like Colgate and Bucknell would erase a lot of the nonconference damage. Until those league opportunities are seized, the profile reads as one with thin top-end victories, clear road vulnerabilities, and a handful of realistic chances to shift the narrative.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3@Providence71L89-79
11/8@BYU10L98-53
11/10@Utah120L87-69
11/16(N)Hampton216W67-61
11/18@Brown228L68-49
11/21@Sacred Heart275L79-66
11/24Siena150L73-69
12/3Northeastern229W76-59
12/6@Fordham22124%
12/16Dartmouth27753%
12/20@Harvard20121%
12/31Bucknell31563%
1/3Navy19139%
1/7@Lehigh29737%
1/10@American Univ23426%
1/14Army34873%
1/17@Lafayette33246%
1/21@Navy19120%
1/24American Univ23447%
1/28@Colgate16416%
1/31@Army34852%
2/2Boston Univ24949%
2/7Lehigh29759%
2/11Colgate16434%
2/15@Loyola MD31841%
2/18Lafayette33268%
2/22@Bucknell31541%
2/25@Boston Univ24928%
2/28Loyola MD31863%